Question

Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters252

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.6

Community Peer Score

9.9

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Palestinian National Authority

Israel

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?

33%

When will Israel recognize Palestine?

2073-12-29

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Palestinian National Authority

Israel

Spiking West Bank violence adds another front to Israel's collection of conflicts

USA Today•Sep 12, 2024

Biden’s national security team has no imminent plans to present an updated ceasefire proposal

CNN•Sep 17, 2024

With little prospect for a deal, Israel floats Sinwar exile proposal to Biden

CNN•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?

33%

When will Israel recognize Palestine?

2073-12-29