Question
Question
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will humanity be extinct within 50 years?
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction4%
Make a Prediction
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will humanity's population be less than 400 million 50 years later?
37%
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will that cause more than 4 billion fatalities within 10 years?
57%
Will the first nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations cause more than 100 million fatalities within 1 month of the final detonation?
72%
Comments
? commentsAuthors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will humanity's population be less than 400 million 50 years later?
37%
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will that cause more than 4 billion fatalities within 10 years?
57%
Will the first nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations cause more than 100 million fatalities within 1 month of the final detonation?
72%