Question

Will Erin O'Toole win the 2021 Canadian federal election?

Resolved :No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction21%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

43.1

Community Peer Score

5.4

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

House of Commons of the UK

Prime Minister of Canada

Conservative Party of Canada

Erin O'Toole

2019 Canadian federal election

Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

85%

Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election?

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

House of Commons of the UK

Prime Minister of Canada

Conservative Party of Canada

Erin O'Toole

2019 Canadian federal election

Canada’s Conservative leader says his party plans no-confidence motion against Trudeau’s government

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Canada's Poilievre signals plans for no-confidence vote against Trudeau government

FOX News•Sep 12, 2024

Justin Trudeau's future as the Canadian prime minister is looking increasingly shaky

Business Insider•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

85%

Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election?

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?

45%