MetaculusM

Question

Question

Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?

Resolved :No

22

Total Forecasters92

Community Prediction44%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 44%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.9

Community Peer Score

17.5

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

September 11 attacks

War in Afghanistan (2001–present)

Osama bin Laden

Arlington County, Virginia

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

September 11 attacks

War in Afghanistan (2001–present)

Osama bin Laden

Arlington County, Virginia