Question

Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?

Resolved :No

49 comments49

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

80.9

Community Peer Score

8.0

Authors:

adamr

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Doug Ducey

Republican Party (US)

116th United States Congress

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

adamr

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Doug Ducey

Republican Party (US)

116th United States Congress

Over 30 lawmakers sign bipartisan pledge to uphold 2024 election results — including 6 Republicans

AlterNet•Sep 13, 2024

Why these 7 Republican senators still aren't endorsing Trump

Business Insider•Sep 15, 2024

America's Future Is Republican

Townhall•Sep 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%