Question

By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?

Resolved :Yes

62 comments62

Total Forecasters331

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

28.5

Community Peer Score

24.1

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Federal Election Commission

2024 Elections (US)

Joe Biden

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

99%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Federal Election Commission

2024 Elections (US)

Joe Biden

Donald Trump Says He Won't Run Again in 2028 if Defeated by Kamala Harris

Newsweek•Sep 22, 2024

'That will be it': Trump shares decision on a presidential run in 2028

USA Today•Sep 23, 2024

Donald Trump says he doesn’t believe he will run in 2028 if he loses in November

Independent•Sep 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

99%