Question

Will the US Senate Majority Leader be a Republican on February 1st 2021?

Resolved :No

92 comments92

Total Forecasters163

Community Prediction58%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 58%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-75.1

Community Peer Score

23.5

median 58.0%mean 59.9%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Kamala Harris

Republican Party (US)

Joe Biden

List of United States senators from Georgia

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections?

71%

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Kamala Harris

Republican Party (US)

Joe Biden

List of United States senators from Georgia

Party leaders of the United States Senate

US Senate

Republicans favored to regain Senate as key race shifts in GOP’s favor

New York Post•Sep 13, 2024

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Red State•Sep 13, 2024

The Prospects Are Improving for a GOP Sweep of the House, Senate, and White House

PJ Media•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections?

71%

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?