Question

On January 1st, 2021, will Americans' opposition to Black Lives Matter be higher than 40%?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters159

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

26.8

Community Peer Score

11.7

median 35.0%mean 39.5%

Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

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Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

61%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?

2026-01-30