Question

Will any state send multiple certificates of electors following the 2020 election?

Resolved :No

32 comments32

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

86.5

Community Peer Score

3.7

median 1.0%mean 6.5%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Louisiana

South Carolina

1876 United States presidential election

2020 US presidential election

Rutherford B. Hayes

Samuel J. Tilden

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

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