Question

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction128

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>180

...

1.5%

122.9

128.5

134.6

0.5%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

75%

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

If Labor wins the next Australian election, what will the Reserve Bank's cash rate target be in June 2025?

2.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Can UK avoid national debt almost tripling over next 50 years?

Guardian•Sep 12, 2024

Should prisoners jump the queue for housing?

Spectator (UK)•Sep 13, 2024

Prison population drops by record amount under Labour early release scheme

Guardian•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

75%

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

If Labor wins the next Australian election, what will the Reserve Bank's cash rate target be in June 2025?

2.3