Question

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

32 comments32

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction2062-10-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2199-12-31

...

2044-05-10 07:55

2062-10-05 19:08

2199-12-31 00:00

28.0%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

List of countries by GDP (nominal)

China

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

United States

International Monetary Fund

Military budget of China

Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041?

58%

Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030?

10%

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

List of countries by GDP (nominal)

China

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

United States

International Monetary Fund

Military budget of China

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Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041?

58%

Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030?

10%