Question

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction480

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<10

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50k

...

0.4%

272.7

479.9

876

0.3%

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

US dollar

GiveWell

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

35%

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

US dollar

GiveWell

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Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

35%

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k