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Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?

resultNo

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%chance

How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?

Ambiguous

How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?

result33.926M

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

480 $

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%chance

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

42%chance

How many charities will Charity Entrepreneurship help launch in 2021?

Ambiguous

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

19 Sep 2027

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?

resultNo