Question

When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction2.31k

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

2.115k

2.31k

4.194k

20.0%

Authors:

pranomostro

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Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Outline of space science

When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?

2079-10-11

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

70%

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Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Outline of space science

The Sherco coal-fired power plant switching to solar to solve clean energy challenge

CNN•Sep 17, 2024

US nuclear repository is among the federally owned spots identified for renewable energy projects

Associated Press•Sep 18, 2024

The Energy Transition Will Be Public

CounterPunch•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?

2079-10-11

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

70%