Question

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters166

Community Prediction2039-02-13

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My Prediction

community

<2019-07-24

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-12-31

...

0.7%

2031-05-19 03:44

2039-02-13 14:59

2040-12-31 00:00

44.5%

Authors:

agentofuser

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brain–computer interface

Artificial intelligence

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-05-18

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2047-09-06

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2032-03-23

Comments

? comments

Authors:

agentofuser

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brain–computer interface

Artificial intelligence

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New York Post•Sep 17, 2024

This Brain Implant Lets People Control Amazon Alexa With Their Minds

Wired•Sep 17, 2024

One day, we may all have brain chips to help remember where our keys are: scientists

New York Post•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-05-18

When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09-06

When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?

2032-03-23