Question

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters161

Community Prediction2036-12-14

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upper 75%

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2030-01-04 22:34

2036-12-14 09:01

2051-10-21 09:12

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Computer science

Artificial intelligence

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

35%

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

65%

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

2049-12-27

Comments

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Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Computer science

Artificial intelligence

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

35%

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

65%

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

2049-12-27