Question

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

55%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

55%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

60%

MetaculusM

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Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

Comments

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?