Question

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

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Total Forecasters2

Community Prediction2.97M

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2.68M

2.974M

3.35M

Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024?

12.3M

What percentage of the Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan 2024 budget will be funded by December 31, 2024?

42.9

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

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Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

Sudan accuses UAE of arming rivals and prolonging war, UAE accuses Sudan of refusing to talk peace

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Sudan is burning and foreign powers are benefiting – what’s in it for the UAE

The Conversation•Sep 13, 2024

War in Sudan: Both Sides Accused of Crimes Against Humanity

Democracy Now•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024?

12.3M

What percentage of the Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan 2024 budget will be funded by December 31, 2024?

42.9

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%