Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?
4
9 comments
9
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
70
Community Prediction
1%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 1%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Five Years After AGI
Artificial Intelligence
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Five Years After AGI
Artificial Intelligence
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI o1 Model Warning Issued by Scientist: 'Particularly Dangerous'
Newsweek
•
Sep 13, 2024
OpenAI's o1 model is inching closer to human-like intelligence — but don't get carried away
Business Insider
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI o1 Model Warning Issued by Scientist: 'Particularly Dangerous'
Newsweek
•
Sep 13, 2024
OpenAI's o1 model is inching closer to human-like intelligence — but don't get carried away
Business Insider
•
Sep 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?
1%
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
2049-12-27
Five years after AGI, how happy will people be?
5.34
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?
1%
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
2049-12-27
Five years after AGI, how happy will people be?
5.34
Show More Questions