Question

What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction12.3M

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<10.1M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20M

...

6.4%

11.4M

12.33M

13.72M

0.4%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

2.97M

Which faction in the Sudanese civil war will come out as the victor?

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

18%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

UN warns some 25 million Sudanese risk famine without more donations

Associated Press•Sep 13, 2024

Sudan is burning and foreign powers are benefiting – what’s in it for the UAE

The Conversation•Sep 13, 2024

War in Sudan: Both Sides Accused of Crimes Against Humanity

Democracy Now•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

2.97M

Which faction in the Sudanese civil war will come out as the victor?

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

18%