Question

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction278

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<25

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

2.0%

191.7

278.3

446.5

8.8%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

218

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024?

347

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

British child killed by brain swelling caused by measles - is your area a hot spot for the deadly virus?

Daily Mail•Sep 13, 2024

CDC says mpox vaccine boosters aren’t needed in the US as questions emerge around waning immunity

CNN•Sep 13, 2024

'Vaccine fatigue' blamed as roughly half of people in US will skip COVID and flu shots this year

FOX News•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

218

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024?

347