Question

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

53 comments53

Forecast Timeline

Marine Le Pen

Other

Édouard Philippe

Gabriel Attal

François Ruffin

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Marine Le Pen	34%

Other	14%

Édouard Philippe	10.3%

Gabriel Attal	7%

François Ruffin	6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon	6%

Jordan Bardella	3%

Gérald Darmanin	2.4%

Bruno Le Maire	1.1%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Authors:

palcu

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Presidential elections in France

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

50%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

palcu

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Presidential elections in France

French Far-Left Launch Impeachment Proceedings Against Macron

Breitbart•Sep 17, 2024

France – and even Michel Barnier – is tiring of Emmanuel Macron

Spectator (UK)•Sep 20, 2024

Marine Le Pen looks unstoppable

Spectator (UK)•Sep 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

50%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%