Question

Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023?

Resolved :No

36 comments36

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

48.0

Community Peer Score

20.5

Authors:

kqr

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Environment & Climate

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

80%

Will European soil moisture be below the reference period for at least 3 out of the 4 years between 2022 and 2025?

39%

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

kqr

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

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Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

80%

Will European soil moisture be below the reference period for at least 3 out of the 4 years between 2022 and 2025?

39%