Group

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

Forecast Timeline

2030

2025

2024

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
2030	12%

2025	4%

2024	no

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

United Nations peacekeeping

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%

Will Argentina invade the Falkland Islands (again) before these dates?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

United Nations peacekeeping

Lula, Maduro, and a New Cold War in Latin America

New Yorker•Sep 13, 2024

Venezuela Arrests US Citizens Over Alleged CIA Plot To Assassinate Maduro

AntiWar•Sep 17, 2024

Venezuela Arrests Three Americans Amid Claims Of U.S.-Led Plot To Kill Maduro

Daily Wire•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%