Question

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

Resolved :No

291 comments291

Total Forecasters669

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.6

Community Peer Score

27.3

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Palestinian National Authority

2006 Palestinian legislative election

1948 Arab–Israeli War

Oslo Accords

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

91%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Palestinian National Authority

2006 Palestinian legislative election

1948 Arab–Israeli War

Oslo Accords

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

91%