Question

[Short Fuse] Will a vote on the motion to vacate be held before October 4, 2023?

Resolved :Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters3

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

28.5

Community Peer Score

5.6

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

US House of Representatives

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Indian National Congress

Motion to vacate

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

97%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

US House of Representatives

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Indian National Congress

Motion to vacate

Mike Johnson facing test of leadership as spending deadline looms

CNN•Sep 12, 2024

A Decision to Make: House Speaker Mike Johnson's government funding bill divides Republicans

FOX News•Sep 13, 2024

Johnson faces major leadership test as GOP wars over government shutdown

FOX News•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

97%

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

45%