Question

When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction2025-12-21

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01-01

...

2025-04-14 01:20

2025-12-21 21:59

2026-11-26 04:17

2.3%

Authors:

CivilMarigold

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Martial law in Ukraine

National Guard of Ukraine

Ukraine

Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?

13%

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

2026-05-03

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

18%

Comments

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Authors:

CivilMarigold

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Martial law in Ukraine

National Guard of Ukraine

Ukraine

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Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?

13%

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

2026-05-03

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

18%