Question

If Sahra Wagenknecht founds a new party, what percentage of the votes will this party get in the next German federal elections?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction6.81

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20

...

4.51

6.806

8.77

0.1%

Authors:

jowo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

German federal election

Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026?

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?

73.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jowo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

German federal election

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Guardian•Sep 17, 2024

Sahra Wagenknecht’s Party Is Here to Stay

Jacobin•Sep 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026?

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?

73.4