Question

In which year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction2044-06-27

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My Prediction

community

<2019-12-31

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-12-31

...

2.3%

2035-08-04 14:06

2044-06-27 15:27

2055-10-18 09:59

6.3%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Paris Agreement

NASA

How much global warming by 2100?

2.85

Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

95%

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Paris Agreement

NASA

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How much global warming by 2100?

2.85

Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

95%

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

23%