Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a total solar eclipse on June 25, 2522?
95%
18
21 comments
21
Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?
95%
44
39 comments
39
How much global warming by 2100?
2.85
95
120 comments
120
Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?
48%
56
56 comments
56
Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?
9%
39
34 comments
34
When will we get the last communication from Voyager 1?
2029-02-14
14
10 comments
10
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
58%
85
79 comments
79
Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?
1%
26
17 comments
17
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20%
19
8 comments
8
In which year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?
2044-06-27
24
14 comments
14
Load more