Question

Will Ding Liren win the 2023 World Chess Championship?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-18.5

Community Peer Score

11.1

Authors:

TheNixon

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

FIDE

World Chess Championship

Ding Liren

Ian Nepomniachtchi

Magnus Carlsen

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

2034-11-28

When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

2026-09-19

Comments

? comments

Authors:

TheNixon

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

FIDE

World Chess Championship

Ding Liren

Ian Nepomniachtchi

Magnus Carlsen

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

2034-11-28

When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

2026-09-19