Question

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction65%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Albemarle Corporation

United States

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.6

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Albemarle Corporation

United States

How Is One Of The Biggest Sources Of Lithium On Earth Sinking?

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

How oil-rich Arkansas became a hotbed of lithium mining

CNBC•Sep 13, 2024

Arizona tribe fights to stop lithium drilling on culturally significant lands

Associated Press•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.6

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

MetaculusM

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Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Comments

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?