Question

In 2023 will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action?

Resolved :Yes

7 comments7

Total Forecasters135

Community Prediction100%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

30.9

Community Peer Score

11.3

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

Affirmative action

Supreme Court of the US

Scott Alexander

Harvard University

Affirmative action in the United States

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

41%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

Affirmative action

Supreme Court of the US

Scott Alexander

Harvard University

Affirmative action in the United States

Harvard reports slight decline in Black students in wake of affirmative action ruling

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Harvard Reports Slight Decline in Black Students After Affirmative Action Ruling

Time•Sep 12, 2024

At Some Elite Universities, Affirmative Action Ruling Leaves Little Impact on Racial Makeup, Prompting Scrutiny

Washington Free Beacon•Sep 12, 2024

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Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

41%