Question

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Margaret Thatcher

Green Party of England and Wales

Caroline Lucas

UK Independence Party

Liberal Democrats (UK)

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

75%

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Margaret Thatcher

Green Party of England and Wales

Caroline Lucas

UK Independence Party

Liberal Democrats (UK)

Near clean sweep for Labour MPs in parliament select committee elections

Guardian•Sep 12, 2024

Women’s committee chair struggles to define a woman

Spectator (UK)•Sep 17, 2024

Labour will lean into hope at first conference in power for 15 years

Guardian•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

75%

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%