Question

Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

59.7

Community Peer Score

17.9

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Economy & Business

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

United States

PredictIt

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024?

99%

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

95%

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Economy & Business

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

United States

PredictIt

Yes, You Can Now Bet on Elections in the US

Wired•Sep 13, 2024

Federal judge allows prediction market Kalshi to offer betting on upcoming US elections

CNN•Sep 13, 2024

Money rolls in on US election bets after judge clears way, but appeal looms

Associated Press•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024?

99%

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

95%