Question

Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters93

Community Prediction1%

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50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.3

Community Peer Score

10.7

Authors:

CivilMarigold

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Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

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Authors:

CivilMarigold

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%