Question

When will there be at least 500 million Americans?

28 comments28

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction2113-03-23

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2121-01-01

...

2080-05-30 07:55

2113-03-23 01:07

2121-01-01 00:00

44.8%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will there be at least one billion Americans?

2120-12-26

What will the US population be in these years?

341

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

38%

Comments

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Population: As US Births Fall, Do We Need More Kids? Demographer Weighs In

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2024

Biden-Harris Mass Migration: 2-in-13 U.S. Residents Are Foreign-Born

Breitbart•Sep 13, 2024

Percentage of foreign-born people in US hits highest rate in over a century: data

New York Post•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will there be at least one billion Americans?

2120-12-26

What will the US population be in these years?

341

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

38%