Question

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction44%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 44%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Politics

Affirmative action

Supreme Court of the US

United States

Executive Order 10925

Affirmative action in the United States

Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

42%

In what percent of US states will capital punishment be legal in 2035?

38.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Politics

Affirmative action

Supreme Court of the US

United States

Executive Order 10925

Affirmative action in the United States

Harvard reports slight decline in Black students in wake of affirmative action ruling

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Harvard Reports Slight Decline in Black Students After Affirmative Action Ruling

Time•Sep 12, 2024

Harvard Sees Drop in New Black Students After Affirmative Action Ruling

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

42%

In what percent of US states will capital punishment be legal in 2035?

38.7