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stanulamstan
Predictions
4841
Comments
2013
Member Since
June 2021
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by stanulamstan
Will the ICJ find that Israel committed genocide?
25%
chance
Will Sweden join NATO before 2025?
result
Yes
Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?
42%
chance
Will Israel have a national election for Knesset in 2023?
result
No
Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?
40%
chance
Will Saudi Arabia and Iran restore diplomatic relations by 2024?
result
Yes
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?
result
Yes
Will the Israeli Labor Party run alone?
result
Yes
Will Bill Maher vote for a Republican President by 2042?
50%
chance
Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?
20%
chance
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