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Charles

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Member SinceJuly 2020

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Will Mitt Romney endorse the Democratic party nominee for US President in 2024?

How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Global Health and Development on the following dates?

Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?

Will <40% of US tax filings be filed using paid tax preparers in 2027?

Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?

Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?