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amanda@ought
Predictions
108
Comments
45
Member Since
June 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by amanda@ought
Will California pass Proposition 22 to classify app-based drivers as independent contractors?
result
Yes
If California does not pass Proposition 22 to classify app-based drivers as independent contractors, what will Uber's adjusted EBITDA for the mobility segment be in Q1 2021?
Ambiguous
If California passes Proposition 22 to classify app-based drivers as independent contractors, what will Uber's adjusted EBITDA for the mobility segment be in Q1 2021?
result
298M
If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?
result
460.4k
If at least one human challenge trial is run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?
Ambiguous
If Trump is not re-elected President, how many lawful permanent residents will reside in the US on January 1, 2022?
result
12.88M
If Trump is re-elected President, how many lawful permanent residents will reside in the US on January 1, 2022?
Ambiguous
If Trump is not re-elected President, what will the value of the S&P 500 be on January 1, 2021?
result
3756.07
If Trump is re-elected President, what will the value of the S&P 500 be on January 1, 2021?
Ambiguous
Possible Worlds Series
11
2 comments
2
Possible Worlds Series (with Ought)
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