The Future of AI series builds on a set of key AI questions identified by Arb Research to provide more accurate models of future AI progress.

Share your forecasts and help contribute to more accurate aggregate predictions on critical open questions spanning frontier AI models, lab safety teams, the EU AI Act, and more.

We appreciate the research efforts of Gavin Leech, Nuño Sempere, David Mathers, and Misha Yagudin in identifying these questions. Find their full list here.

Note: Most questions in the series build on the above list. Some were previously published on Metaculus, but map onto Arb Research-identified questions.