A collection of questions about key uncertainties surrounding some of the most important institutions in the world, curated in collaboration with the Effective Institutions Project.

The Effective Institutions Project (EIP) conducts research, devises strategies, and mobilizes funding and talent to prompt the world’s most important institutions to take actions that lead to better outcomes for humanity. Metaculus and EIP are partnering to launch a series of forecasting questions that get to the heart of core uncertainties about the institutions that EIP has identified as having the most significant impact on the lives of current and future generations. Currently, forecasting questions are being sourced from EIP’s newsletter, The Observatory.

Your forecasts will provide insights surrounding events EIP has identified as being key developments to watch, with the aim of improving the quality of strategic decision-making both at EIP and in the wider ecosystem. We are incredibly grateful to the Metaculus community for contributing their expertise in support of the mission of improving institutional decision-making!