Welcome new forecasters! Want to learn how Metaculus works? Try making a few quick predictions on these topical questions! Each week, we'll have two new questions on relevant topics that week. And the two questions from the previous week will resolve, so you can see how you did on them! At the end of the quarter, you'll be a veteran forecaster with a real forecasting track record.

We’re not currently policing who is defined as a beginner and reserve the right to modify leaderboards and award prizes accordingly.

We also welcome beginner question writers! We'll be looking for two new questions to open every Friday and resolve within 5-14 days. Click the + button below to try your hand at question authoring.