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Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025?
Level 3
30%
Level 2
5%
Level 1
1%
10
9 comments
9
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?
1%
5
7 comments
7
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
56%
56%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
30%
30%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel?
2025-05-12
5
5 comments
5
What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) for the listed dates?
Sep. 28, '24:
1
10 comments
10
Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
Resolved :
No
11
21 comments
21
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?
Resolved :
No
8
4 comments
4
Israel-Gaza Conflict