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Future Perfect 2021 Series
7
1 comment
1
Future Perfect 2021 Series
A public prediction by Dylan Matthews
2
no comments
0
Dylan Matthews
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
Libya
Feb 6, 2029
Myanmar
Jan 12, 2029
South Sudan
Aug 8, 2023
3 others
7
10 comments
10
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
61%
Saudi Arabia
10%
South Korea
5%
7 others
7
6 comments
6
How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
16
27 comments
27
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
150k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025?
Resolved :
No
16
38 comments
38
Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration?
Resolved :
Yes
9
20 comments
20
Verity
Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days?
Resolved :
Yes
6
34 comments
34
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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