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Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
3%
58
109 comments
109
Pandemic Metaculus and new moderators
7
7 comments
7
Metaculus Meta
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?
28%
5
no comments
0
[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
14
95 comments
95
How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on February 3rd?
Resolved :
165k
9
14 comments
14
How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on February the 17th?
Resolved :
464k
14
17 comments
17
How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on March 2nd, 2020?
Resolved :
395k
14
11 comments
11
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
150k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO European region by March 27?
Resolved :
49.1M
12
22 comments
22
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
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