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What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?
2025:
2
8
12 comments
12
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
40%
8
16 comments
16
Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
2%
12
23 comments
23
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
56%
56%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
30%
30%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
38%
38%
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
22%
22%
1
no comments
0
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
25%
1
3 comments
3
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30%
3
3 comments
3
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
3
no comments
0
Conditional Cup