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Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
25%
16
36 comments
36
Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
6%
5
5 comments
5
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
10%
3
4 comments
4
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
65%
1
5 comments
5
Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?
Resolved :
No
15
12 comments
12
China and Global Cooperation
Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
31
33 comments
33
Ukraine Conflict
Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
5
45 comments
45
Will the U.S. reinstate its nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile program before 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
4
6 comments
6
The Taiwan Tinderbox