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Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
11
37 comments
37
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
10 comments
10
Research
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?
24%
3
17 comments
17
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania?
Resolved :
No
5
19 comments
19
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
2.07M
Haiti
1.03M
Sri Lanka
2.29M
4 others
10
7 comments
7
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Uganda
No
Djibouti
No
Kenya
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
4
16 comments
16
Global Pulse Tournament